Category Archives: Oceans

National Hurricane Center’s Graphical Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for 2 Days and 5 Days, as of August 14, 2017

Here’s a look at the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) Atlantic tropical weather outlook for the next few days.  The Virginia Water Central News Grouper posts these outlooks approximately weekly (depending on the level of weather activity) during the Atlantic tropical storm season (June 1-November 30).  As of August 14, 2017,  at 2 p.m EDT, Tropical Storm Gert was in the Atlantic Ocean, east of Florida, but was expected to turn towards the northeast on August 15 and move away from the U.S. East Coast.  Also on August 14, a pre-tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean west of Africa being given a 30-percentchance of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours and a 60-percent chance of cyclone formation within the next five days.  Shown below are the NHC’s two-day and five-day graphical tropical weather outlooks as of 2 p.m. EDT on August 7, accessed at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.
Tropical 2 day Aug 14Tropical 5 day Aug 14

National Hurricane Center’s Graphical Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for 2 Days and 5 Days, as of August 7, 2017, including Tropical Storm (later Hurricane) Franklin

Here’s a look at the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) Atlantic tropical weather outlook for the next few days.  The Virginia Water Central News Grouper posts these outlooks approximately weekly (depending on the level of weather activity) during the Atlantic tropical storm season (June 1-November 30).

As of August 7, 2017,  at 2 p.m EDT, Tropical Storm Franklin was in the Caribbean Sea, approaching the east coast of Mexico’s Yucatan peninsula; the center of the storm was expected to near the Yucatan coast by the evening of August 7.  [Update on August 11: The center of the storm made landfill on the Yucatan Peninsula on August 7.  Back over the Caribbean, Franklin became a hurricane and made landfall again in Mexico on August 10.]   Also on August 7, a pre-tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean about mid-way between Africa and South America was being given  no chance of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours and a 20-percent chance of cyclone formation within the next five days.

Shown below are the NHC’s two-day and five-day graphical tropical weather outlooks as of 2 p.m. EDT on August 7, accessed at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.

Tropical Storms 2-day Aug7Tropical storms 5-day Aug7

Sea Level Rise and Military Readiness are the Focus of Oct. 27, 2017, Conference by the Virginia Coastal Policy Center at the College of William and Mary Law School

Defending Our Coasts: Ensuring Military Readiness and Economic Viability as Waters Rise” is the theme of the 5th annual conference of the William and Mary Law School’s Virginia Coastal Policy Center.  The conference will be held on October 27, 2017, 9 a.m.-5 p.m., at the College of William and Mary School of Education, 301 Monticello Avenue in Williamsburg.

For more information, visit http://law.wm.edu/academics/programs/jd/electives/clinics/vacoastal/index.php; phone (757) 221-3800; or e-mail: lawadm@wm.edu.

National Hurricane Center’s Graphical Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for 2 Days and 5 Days, as of July 31, 2017

Here’s a look at the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) Atlantic tropical weather outlook for the next few days.  The Virginia Water Central News Grouper posts these outlooks approximately weekly (depending on the level of weather activity) during the Atlantic tropical storm season (June 1-November 30).

As of July 31, 2017,  at 8 a.m EDT, Tropical Storm Emily was moving over Florida and was predicted to weaken into a tropical depression as it crossed the Sunshine State.  At the same time, a pre-tropical disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean about mid-way between Africa and South America was being given a one-percent chance of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours.  Shown below are the NHC’s two-day and five-day graphical tropical weather outlooks as of 8 a.m. EDT on July 31, accessed at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.

Tropical storms 2 day Jul31Tropical Storms 5 day Jul31

National Hurricane Center’s Graphical Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook for 2 Days and 5 Days, as of July 17, 2017

Here’s a look at the National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) Atlantic tropical weather outlook for the next few days.  The Virginia Water Central News Grouper posts these outlooks approximately weekly (depending on the level of weather activity) during the Atlantic tropical storm season (June 1-November 30).

As of July 17, 2017,  at 2 p.m EDT, a pre-tropical disturbance east of South America and the Caribbean’s Lesser Antilles chain was being given by the NHC a 50-percent chance of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours.  (7/28/17 note: this became Tropical Storm Don, July 17-19.)  At the same time, a second disturbance in the Atlantic Ocean about mid-way between Africa and South America was being given a 20-percent chance of tropical cyclone formation within 48 hours.

Shown below are the NHC’s two-day and five-day graphical tropical weather outlooks as of 2 p.m. EDT on July 17, accessed at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/.

tropical storm outlook 2 day

tropical storm outlook 5 day

VIMS Approved for $835,000 Coastal Resilience Grant from NOAA in July 2017

On July 14, 2017, Va. Governor Terry McAuliffe announced that the Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS) will receive an $834,991 Coastal Resilience Grant from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).  According to the governor’s office news release on the award, the funded project aims “to reduce the impacts of storm flooding through natural and nature-based infrastructure in the Commonwealth. …The VIMS project will address flooding issues across coastal Virginia by developing informative tools that allow local planners in 37 coastal counties to determine suitable areas to implement natural infrastructure solutions.  These funds will help support a $1.2 million project to improve flooding conditions in the region.”

The VIMS project was one of 19 proposals selected nationwide and the only one in the Middle Atlantic region.  Collaborators on the project will be the Virginia Coastal Policy Center at the College of William and Mary Law School; the non-profit organization Wetlands Watch, headquartered in Norfolk; the Albemarle-Pamlico National Estuary Partnership, hosted by the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality; and several state agencies.

Source: Virginia to Receive $834,991 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration to Reduce Impacts of Storm Flooding, Virginia Governor’s Office News Release, 7/14/17.

An Overview of Antarctic Ice Developments, in PBS NewsHour Videos in July 2017 and March 2017

Loss of giant ice sections from Antarctica—the most recent a Delaware-sized piece that broke off in July 2017—is the subject of the following two PBS NewsHour videos.

One of the biggest icebergs ever just broke off Antarctica. Here’s what scientists want to know,” broadcast on July 12, 2017 (8 minutes/26 seconds) describes this July 2017 break-off of the Delaware-sized iceberg and gives background on Antarctica’s ice geography, other notable ice rifts, and scientists’ efforts to assess the connection of these developments to climate changes and their potential for contributing to sea-level rises; the video is available online at http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/one-biggest-icebergs-ever-just-broke-off-antarctica-heres-scientists-want-know/.

A March 8, 2017, segment on the subject was “How scientists are tracking a massive iceberg in the making.”  That 5 min./55 second video, available online at http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/scientists-tracking-massive-iceberg-making/, describes some of the satellite technology and imagery used to track such large-scale changes.

More information on changes to the Larsen Ice Shelf is available from the National Aeronautic and Space Agency (NASA), “Antarctica’s Changing Larsen Ice Shelf,” online at https://www.nasa.gov/image-feature/antarctica-s-changing-larsen-ice-shelf.